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LivepoliticsWho holds power? US and UK politics 2026-27

Will Trump's approval rating be 38% or higher at the end of 2026?

4Vpoints in play
0Players
 Closes 30 Dec 2026, 23:00 UTC
50%chance of Yes
0%25%50%75%100%22 OctNow
Yes pool2 Vpoints
No pool2 Vpoints

Top players on Yes

Top players on No

Recent predictions

Rules

Resolves YES if Donald Trump's approval figure in the Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver) polling average for 31 December 2026 is 38.0% or higher. Otherwise it resolves NO. It was around 36-37% in late October 2026. Source: Silver Bulletin Trump approval tracker.

History of this market (1)
  1. 22 Oct 2026, 23:47 UTCMarket created.

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